Biden-Putin summit: Awkward dialog looms in Geneva.


Joe Biden mentioned last month that he could be meeting head to head with Russian President Vladimir Putin sooner or later. Now we now have a date – and a location.

The primary US-Russia summit of the Biden presidency will happen in Geneva, Switzerland, on 16 June. That comes on the tail finish of Biden’s already scheduled journey to the UK for the G7 summit and Brussels for a gathering of Nato leaders, giving the president loads of time to listen to from US allies earlier than sitting down with Putin.

White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki, in a press release saying the assembly, mentioned the summit would cowl a “full vary of urgent points” because the US seeks to “restore predictability and stability” to its Russian relations. That echoes feedback Secretary of State Antony Blinken made throughout a gathering along with his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, in Iceland final week, as he mentioned Biden’s objective was a “predictable, secure relationship with Russia”.

A full slate of subjects – and rigidity.

biden-putin summit: awkward dialog looms in geneva. Biden-Putin summit: Awkward dialog looms in Geneva. images 2021 05 25T222028

When Biden and Putin meet, they will have loads to speak about. A brief checklist of topics contains arms management, local weather change, Russian navy involvement in Ukraine, Russia’s cyber-hacking actions, together with the 2020 SolarWinds assault on US authorities and personal pc networks, and the tried poisoning and jailing of Russian dissident Alexei Navalny.

SolarWinds hack: Russian denial ‘unconvincing’
These conversations appear destined to be fraught, as Biden and Putin have traded verbal barbs amid rising tensions prior to now months.

In an interview in March, Biden agreed with the outline of Putin as a “killer”, prompting Russia to briefly recall its ambassador to the US and Putin, in flip, to say it takes one to know one, earlier than dryly wishing Biden “good well being”.

‘It takes one to know one’ – Putin on Biden
There’s little expectation of any tangible outcomes from this assembly, other than the hopes it should result in improved relations and understanding between the 2 leaders.

Sanctions imposed and waived.

Contributing to the present US-Russia tensions are new penalties the Biden administration imposed final month as punishment for the Photo voltaic Winds hacking, which included new limits on transactions between US monetary establishments and the Russian authorities in addition to sanctions on Russian companies and the expulsion of some Russian diplomats within the US.

If these sanctions had been a diplomatic “stick”, the announcement final week that the Biden administration would waive congressionally mandated sanctions on the practically accomplished Nord Stream 2 gasoline pipeline between Russia and Germany may assist ease US-Russia tensions within the run-up to June’s summit. (It additionally avoids irritating Germany, which may very well be an equally necessary concern for the Biden administration, which is intent on repairing US-EU relations.)

The Trump Factor.

If predictability and stability are a part of Biden’s objective, it should mark a pointy distinction from the 4 years of the Trump presidency, which started with allegations – confirmed by the US intelligence group – that Russia had meddled within the 2016 presidential election and was behind cyber-attacks on the Democratic Celebration and its presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton.

These assaults forged a shadow on a lot of the Trump presidency, resulting in Robert Mueller’s particular counsel investigation and revelations of contact between members of the Trump marketing campaign and Russian nationals (though the investigation discovered no proof of co-ordination between the 2 camps).

Eight issues within the Mueller report.

When Trump and Putin had their first and solely one-on-one summit in Helsinki, Finland, in July 2018, Trump controversially acknowledged that he believed Putin’s insistence that Russia was not concerned in election hacking, regardless of US intelligence conclusions on the contrary.

Throughout his presidential marketing campaign and all through his time in workplace, Trump expressed admiration of, and a sympathetic ear towards, Putin, though his administration did – after some delay – comply with by means of with congressionally mandated sanctions on Russia.

Biden’s fantastic line.

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The rhetoric of the Biden administration towards Russia has been markedly completely different, even when its actions haven’t all the time matched the stronger phrases. That has led to some criticism of the White Home’s Russia insurance policies from each political buddies and adversaries.

Following the Nord Stream 2 waiver announcement, Senate International Relations Committee chairman Bob Menendez, a Democrat, mentioned he did not see how the transfer helped “counter Russian aggression in Europe”.

Biden lifts US sanctions on main Russian pipeline
And shortly after the White Home summit info was made public, Republican Senator Ben Sasse hit Biden’s Russia coverage on a variety of fronts, together with the latest transfer by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to intercept a passenger jet to be able to seize a dissident journalist.

European airways reroute flights to keep away from Belarus
“We’re rewarding Putin with a summit?” he mentioned in a press release. “Putin imprisoned Alexei Navalny and his puppet Lukashenko hijacked a airplane to get Roman Protasevich. As an alternative of treating Putin like a gangster who fears his personal folks, we’re giving him his treasured Nord Stream 2 pipeline and legitimising his actions with a summit. That is weak.”

US-Russia summits are all the time diplomatic high-wire acts, with US presidents having to stroll a fantastic line because the world appears on. Biden, as a former vice-president and long-time overseas relations professional within the Senate, has loads of expertise within the diplomatic area and appears to relish growing one-on-one chemistry with world leaders.

The Geneva summit will probably be one of many largest in-person assessments of his political profession, nonetheless.


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